Breaking Down the Giants’ 2024 Draft: A Closer Look at Their Future Stars

As the dust settles on the 2024 NFL Draft, discussions around the value of each pick have taken center stage. Did the New York Giants, under GM Joe Schoen’s guidance, make valuable selections with their six picks? Let’s delve into the analysis and see what the numbers and consensus say.

In a recent post by BBV’s Tony DelGenio, reference was made to Kevin Cole’s work on ‘Unexpected Points’, which scored the Giants at -20.0 using his metric, placing them at the bottom among NFC East teams. On the flip side, Warren Sharp of Sharp Football Analysis developed his own draft pick value metric, ranking the Giants’ draft as 17th overall out of 32 teams, placing them squarely in the middle of the pack.

However, immediate grades and value assessments right after the draft are just the starting point. The true test lies in how these players perform on the field over time. Will they elevate the team and help secure wins, or will they fall short, possibly impacting the futures of key personnel like the GM or head coach?

Let’s break down the Giants’ draft picks one by one and evaluate their value based on the Consensus Big Board from the NFL Mock Draft Database, which amalgamated inputs from over 200 Big Boards and thousands of mock drafts.

Round 1 (No. 6) — Malik Nabers, WR, LSU

Nabers was ranked as the No. 3 overall prospect on the Consensus Big Board and the top-rated wide receiver, making this pick an excellent value selection.

Round 2 (No. 47) — Tyler Nubin, S, Minnesota

Nubin was the 47th-ranked player on the Consensus Big Board, fittingly the first safety off the board and thus an appropriate value pick for the Giants.

Round 3 (No. 70) — Andru Phillips, CB, Kentucky

Phillips was rated as the 75th overall player, and while other options existed, the consensus still supports this pick as appropriate given the draft range.

Round 4 (No. 107) — Theo Johnson, TE, Penn State

Johnson, ranked 90th on the Consensus Big Board, represents excellent value as the Giants picked him 17 slots later.

Round 5 (No. 166) — Tyrone Tracy, RB, Purdue

Tracy, ranked 148th overall, provides excellent value for the Giants as a potential running back contributor and kickoff returner.

Round 6 (No. 183) — Darius Muasau, LB, UCLA

Muasau’s selection at 183rd overall, considering his 244th ranking on the Consensus Big Board, raises questions about value. However, his on-field performance will ultimately determine the true value of this pick.

Overall Assessment

Before Muasau’s selection, the Giants were +33 in draft slot value compared to expectations. However, factoring in Muasau brings their overall draft value to -28 slots below expectation.

While these assessments provide insights, the true worth of these picks will unfold on the field. The Giants’ draft strategy aimed at securing talent across positions, and now it’s time to see how these young players adapt to the NFL and contribute to the team’s success. Keep an eye out for these rookies as they embark on their professional journeys, and let their performances speak volumes about the Giants’ draft success in the long run.